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The Technology Policy Institute is a think tank that focuses on the economics of innovation, technological change, and related regulation. Our mission is to advance knowledge and inform policymakers by producing independent, rigorous research and by sponsoring educational programs and conferences on major issues affecting information technology and communications policy.

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2025 TPI Aspen Forum

ST. REGIS ASPEN RESORT 315 East Dean Street, Aspen, Colorado, 81611, United States

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Two Think Minimum

The Politics of Prediction Markets: John Phillips and David Mason
byTechnology Policy Institute

On the latest episode of Two Think Minimum, TPI hosts Tom Lenard, Sarah Oh Lam, and Scott Wallsten explore the world of polls and prediction markets with Aristotle CEO John Phillips and General Counsel David Mason. Aristotle helps run PredictIt, a platform which enables research into how markets can forecast events in real-time. The conversation covers how PredictIt is navigating CFTC regulation, the broad value of small-dollar prediction markets to understanding public opinion and risk forecasting, and how PredictIt determines which questions to create contracts for. This episode offers valuable insights for anyone interested in the intersection of market dynamics, public opinion, and data-driven insights.

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August 17-19, 2025

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